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Jul 14

Japan’s IP Is Still Waffling and Weak

Japan's industrial production continues to be weak with output falling by 0.2% in May after falling by 1% in April and coming up lame - at flat - in March. Sequential growth rates are not telling an upbeat story either,…

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Jul 14, 2025

Robert Brusca

Jul 10

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall in Latest Week

Summary Unexpected decline to lowest level since mid-May. Continuing claims continue to rise. Insured unemployment rate remains elevated. Initial claims for unemployment insurance declined to 227,000 (+2.3% y/y, SA) in the week ended July 5, from 232,000 in the previous…

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Jul 10, 2025

Thomas J. Moeller

Jul 8

U.S. Consumer Credit Slows in May

Summary Consumer credit weakens more than expected. Nonrevolving credit usage eases as revolving credit declines. Consumer credit outstanding increased $5.1 billion (2.0% y/y) during May after rising $16.9 billion in April, revised from $17.9 billion, and $7.9 billion in March,…

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Jul 8, 2025

Thomas J. Moeller

Jul 1

U.S. Construction Spending Registers a String of Declines in May

Summary Headline: -0.3% m/m, the seventh straight m/m fall; -3.5% y/y, the deepest y/y drop since May ’11. Residential private construction -0.5% m/m, led by a 1.8% fall in single-family building. Nonresidential private construction -0.4% m/m, the third straight m/m…

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Jul 1, 2025

Winnie Tapasanun

Jun 26

U.S. Q1 GDP Revised Weaker in Third Estimate

Summary The previously reported 0.2% q/q saar decline was revised to -0.5%. Consumer spending weakened markedly to a tepid 0.5% from 1.2% previously. Net exports were still the major drag while inventory investment still made a key contribution. GDP and…

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Jun 26, 2025

Sandy Batten

Jun 23

Flash PMIs Are Mixed

PMI data show broad improvement month-to-month with the manufacturing readings improving in all reporting units except Australia and France. Service sectors weakened in France, India, and the United States in June. Only the US and France showed a lower composite…

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Jun 23, 2025

Robert Brusca

Jun 17

U.S. Retail Sales Fell More than Expected in May 2025

Summary Sales fell a more-than-expected 0.9% m/m, led by a 3.5% decline in motor vehicle sales and a 2.0% drop in gasoline store sales. Sales excluding autos unexpectedly fell 0.3% m/m. In contrast, sales in the control group (used to…

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Jun 17, 2025

Sandy Batten

Jun 10

U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Rebounds in May

Summary Economic & sales expectations rise. Employment plans & job openings continue to weaken. Percent raising prices steadies but price expectations increase. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.1% to 98.8 in May after falling 1.6% to an unrevised…

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Jun 10, 2025

Thomas J. Moeller

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