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The messaging from this week’s raft of economic data has painted an increasingly familiar picture of the global economic scene. Headline inflation is finally easing off its highs in large part thanks to ebbing energy prices. But last year’s high levels of inflation and the global trend toward tighter monetary policy that they sparked are now exacting a heavier toll on economic activity.
A Fed easing narrative has been re-energized over the past few days largely thanks to a slightly weaker than expected US CPI report this week but, more generally, because of a battery of weaker-than-expected US data over the past couple of weeks. In our charts this week we examine the following:
·    Consensus growth expectations for 2024
·    GDP growth in advanced economies in  Q1
·    The German economy’s under-performance
·    A slowing UK labour market
·    US immigration
·    Global food price inflation
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