Haver Resources

Aug 12

U.S. Unemployment Claims Continue on an Uptrend

Initial claims rose 14,000 in the August 6 week. The previous week was revised down by 12,000. Continued claims rose 8,000 in the July 30 week. The insured unemployment rate remained at 1.0%. Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended August 6 rose 14,000 to 262,000 (-37.0%...

read more →
Aug 11
Aug 11

RICS Survey Points to More U.K. Housing Sector Weakness

The survey of housing market conditions in the U.K. continues to show strength in prices versus weakness in activity. Housing price expectations, however, were reduced on the month as new sales continued to post weaker results and sales prospects fell sharpy to a weak level. The residential survey from the...

read more →
Aug 10

U.S. CPI Unchanged in July with Drop in Energy Prices

Headline index was unchanged, lowest monthly reading since May 2020, due mostly to 4.6% m/m decline in energy prices. Food prices posted another sharp increase, the seventh consecutive monthly increase of 0.9% or more. Increase in core prices still relatively broadly based, led by shelter. Consumer prices were unchanged in...

read more →
Aug 09

U.S. Small Business Optimism Edged Up in July

  This was the first monthly increase in 2022, but optimism still remains quite low. Index of expectations for the next six months rebounded from series low in June. Six of the 10 index components fell in July. Inflation is the biggest major concern, highest since 1979. The NFIB Small...

read more →
Aug 09
Aug 09

FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Weakness Led by Oil

Oil prices reach lowest level since February. Steel scrap & framing lumber prices remain notably weak. Earlier weakness in the Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) has been sustained. The price index is down 3.4% during the last four weeks and 2.1%...

read more →
Aug 05

U.S. Job Market Improves Broadly During July

Payroll employment increase accelerates to 528,000. Wage gain remains firm at 5.2% y/y. Unemployment rate returns to 50-year low. The 528,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls last month (4.0% y/y) followed increases of 398,000 and 386,000 during the prior two months. It was the largest monthly increase since February and was...

read more →
Aug 04

U.S. Foreign Trade Deficit Narrows in June

Deficit is smallest in six months. Exports continue to strengthen but imports fall. Petroleum imports increase. Trade deficit with China widens. The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services (BOP basis) fell to $79.61 billion in June from $84.91 billion in May, revised from $85.55 and a record $107.65 billion...

read more →
Aug 03

Mortgage Applications Increase in the Latest Week

Purchase and refinancing applications rose in the week of July 29. Mortgage rates declined. Mortgage applications increased 1.2% (-62.0% y/y) from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 29, following four consecutive weekly declines. Purchase applications rose...

read more →
Jul 29

Webinar: Waiting For A Pivot

Our latest research webinar, ‘Waiting For A Pivot' is available for on-demand viewing. Join Haver Senior Economist, Andy Cates in this valuable webinar as he explores recent shifts in global economic matters and how they might affect central banks and financial markets. Here’s a snapshot into one of the key issues discussed in this...

read more →
Jul 14

The Overshooting Dollar and Its Implications

The strength of the US dollar and by extension the weakness of other major currencies in recent weeks has generated a great deal of comment. Heightened global risk aversion and an investor preference for the relative safety of US assets is one reason for the dollar’s ascent. But relative growth...

read more →
Jul 11

Upcoming Course Offerings: Machine Learning, R and Python

Haver Analytics, in collaboration with our partners Clear Future, is announcing upcoming online courses in Machine Learning, Python and R: Course dates for 2022: Applied Time Series with Python: September 7th - 19th 2022 (9:00 - 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time) Applied Time Series with R: October 3 - 14th...

read more →
Jul 05

Webinar: Monitoring Stagflation Risks

We've released a follow-up webinar with fresh graph data and analysis looking at the rising risks of stagflation. ☞ Click to View Webinar ☜ Updated agenda: Our updated stress indicator suggests that global stagflation risks have been rising in recent weeks. How incoming economic data squares with recession, inflation and stagflation...

read more →
Jun 28

Webinar: Is the US Economy Headed for a Recession?

Our latest research webinar featuring Haver Senior Economist, Sandy Batten, is now available for on-demand viewing. With US GDP having declined 1.5% q/q at an annual rate in Q1 2022, the Federal Reserve embarking on what appears to be the most aggressive tightening of monetary policy in more than 30 years,...

read more →
Jun 17

2022 GDP and CPI Forecasts: A More Challenging Consensus

The latest June survey of Blue Chip professional forecasters is an uncomfortable read. Further downward revisions to growth expectations for 2022 have been accompanied by further upward revisions to inflation forecasts. That’s an unpleasant combination, suggesting stagflation risks are high and rising. That many policymakers moreover are now more actively...

read more →
May 30

Webinar: The Blame Game

Our latest research webinar, 'The Blame Game' is available for on-demand viewing. Tune in with Haver Senior Economist, Andy Cates, as he assesses the criticisms that are being levelled at central bankers at present via a deep dive into inflation drivers, growth surprises, financial balances, and labour markets. Here's a snapshot into...

read more →
May 16

Webinar: Three Themes and Some Flows

Our latest research webinar, "Three Themes and Some Flows" is now available for on-demand viewing. Senior economist Andy Cates along with Steve Muzzlewhite, the global head of customer solutions at EPFR, discuss three global macro themes; the crisis in Ukraine, recession risks which link to stagflation stress, and sub-merging emerging markets. Steve...

read more →
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Aug 12

U.S. Unemployment Claims Continue on an Uptrend

Initial claims rose 14,000 in the August 6 week. The previous week was revised down by 12,000. Continued claims rose 8,000 in the July 30 week. The insured unemployment rate remained at 1.0%. Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended August 6 rose 14,000 to 262,000 (-37.0%...

read more →
Aug 11
Aug 11

RICS Survey Points to More U.K. Housing Sector Weakness

The survey of housing market conditions in the U.K. continues to show strength in prices versus weakness in activity. Housing price expectations, however, were reduced on the month as new sales continued to post weaker results and sales prospects fell sharpy to a weak level. The residential survey from the...

read more →
Aug 10

U.S. CPI Unchanged in July with Drop in Energy Prices

Headline index was unchanged, lowest monthly reading since May 2020, due mostly to 4.6% m/m decline in energy prices. Food prices posted another sharp increase, the seventh consecutive monthly increase of 0.9% or more. Increase in core prices still relatively broadly based, led by shelter. Consumer prices were unchanged in...

read more →
Aug 09

U.S. Small Business Optimism Edged Up in July

  This was the first monthly increase in 2022, but optimism still remains quite low. Index of expectations for the next six months rebounded from series low in June. Six of the 10 index components fell in July. Inflation is the biggest major concern, highest since 1979. The NFIB Small...

read more →
Aug 09
Aug 09

FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Weakness Led by Oil

Oil prices reach lowest level since February. Steel scrap & framing lumber prices remain notably weak. Earlier weakness in the Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) has been sustained. The price index is down 3.4% during the last four weeks and 2.1%...

read more →
Aug 05

U.S. Job Market Improves Broadly During July

Payroll employment increase accelerates to 528,000. Wage gain remains firm at 5.2% y/y. Unemployment rate returns to 50-year low. The 528,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls last month (4.0% y/y) followed increases of 398,000 and 386,000 during the prior two months. It was the largest monthly increase since February and was...

read more →
Aug 04

U.S. Foreign Trade Deficit Narrows in June

Deficit is smallest in six months. Exports continue to strengthen but imports fall. Petroleum imports increase. Trade deficit with China widens. The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services (BOP basis) fell to $79.61 billion in June from $84.91 billion in May, revised from $85.55 and a record $107.65 billion...

read more →
Aug 03

Mortgage Applications Increase in the Latest Week

Purchase and refinancing applications rose in the week of July 29. Mortgage rates declined. Mortgage applications increased 1.2% (-62.0% y/y) from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 29, following four consecutive weekly declines. Purchase applications rose...

read more →
Jul 29

Webinar: Waiting For A Pivot

Our latest research webinar, ‘Waiting For A Pivot' is available for on-demand viewing. Join Haver Senior Economist, Andy Cates in this valuable webinar as he explores recent shifts in global economic matters and how they might affect central banks and financial markets. Here’s a snapshot into one of the key issues discussed in this...

read more →
Jul 14

The Overshooting Dollar and Its Implications

The strength of the US dollar and by extension the weakness of other major currencies in recent weeks has generated a great deal of comment. Heightened global risk aversion and an investor preference for the relative safety of US assets is one reason for the dollar’s ascent. But relative growth...

read more →
Jul 11

Upcoming Course Offerings: Machine Learning, R and Python

Haver Analytics, in collaboration with our partners Clear Future, is announcing upcoming online courses in Machine Learning, Python and R: Course dates for 2022: Applied Time Series with Python: September 7th - 19th 2022 (9:00 - 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time) Applied Time Series with R: October 3 - 14th...

read more →
Jul 05

Webinar: Monitoring Stagflation Risks

We've released a follow-up webinar with fresh graph data and analysis looking at the rising risks of stagflation. ☞ Click to View Webinar ☜ Updated agenda: Our updated stress indicator suggests that global stagflation risks have been rising in recent weeks. How incoming economic data squares with recession, inflation and stagflation...

read more →
Jun 28

Webinar: Is the US Economy Headed for a Recession?

Our latest research webinar featuring Haver Senior Economist, Sandy Batten, is now available for on-demand viewing. With US GDP having declined 1.5% q/q at an annual rate in Q1 2022, the Federal Reserve embarking on what appears to be the most aggressive tightening of monetary policy in more than 30 years,...

read more →
Jun 17

2022 GDP and CPI Forecasts: A More Challenging Consensus

The latest June survey of Blue Chip professional forecasters is an uncomfortable read. Further downward revisions to growth expectations for 2022 have been accompanied by further upward revisions to inflation forecasts. That’s an unpleasant combination, suggesting stagflation risks are high and rising. That many policymakers moreover are now more actively...

read more →
May 30

Webinar: The Blame Game

Our latest research webinar, 'The Blame Game' is available for on-demand viewing. Tune in with Haver Senior Economist, Andy Cates, as he assesses the criticisms that are being levelled at central bankers at present via a deep dive into inflation drivers, growth surprises, financial balances, and labour markets. Here's a snapshot into...

read more →
May 16

Webinar: Three Themes and Some Flows

Our latest research webinar, "Three Themes and Some Flows" is now available for on-demand viewing. Senior economist Andy Cates along with Steve Muzzlewhite, the global head of customer solutions at EPFR, discuss three global macro themes; the crisis in Ukraine, recession risks which link to stagflation stress, and sub-merging emerging markets. Steve...

read more →

Training

Haver Analytics offers professional development courses for R, Python and Machine Learning. These programs focus on Big Data Analytics as well as traditional time series analysis and econometric modelling – aiding our clients in model building, variable testing, forecasting and more.  Participants improve by working through real-world applications and practice examples using global data. Small class sizes foster close collaboration with our Partners from Clear Future.

Custom training manuals, annotated scripts and notebooks are provided along with certificates of completion. No prior experience is required.  All courses progress from introductory boot camp through advanced modelling topics in economics, finance and machine learning.  All courses are digital and take place over a two-week period, in six sessions, which are 2.5 hours in duration. The sessions follow a Monday-Wednesday-Friday schedule and accommodate multiple time zones.

Upcoming courses in 2022:

  • Applied Time Series with Python: September 5 – 16th 2022 (9:00 – 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time)
  • Applied Time Series with R: October 3 – 14th 2022 (9:00 – 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time)
  • Applied Time Series with Python: November 28 – December 9th 2022 (9:00 – 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time)

Click here to learn more about upcoming courses.

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To find out more about our full offering, or to schedule a demonstration of our software and analytical tools, please reach out via this form.

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