Summary Monthly decline is eleventh in a row. Coincident indicators post minimal gain. Lagging indicators rise modestly. The Conference Board's Composite Leading Economic Indicators Index fell 0.3% (-6.5% y/y) during February after an unrevised 0.3% January weakening and a 0.8% December drop. The decline matched expectations in the Action Economics...
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Mar
17
Mar
17
Listen to our latest podcast here: Last week’s failure of a US bank and growing fears about the underlying health of the world’s broader banking sector have dominated the financial headlines in recent days. A trend toward risk aversion has clearly been in the ascendancy. And central banks are now...
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Mar
16
Summary Import prices ease 0.1% in Feb. to the lowest index level since Jan. ’22, down for the seventh time in eight months, led by a 4.9% decline in imported fuel prices. Excluding fuels, import prices rise 0.4%, up for the third consecutive month. Export prices beat expectations again rising...
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Mar
15
Summary Fewer motor vehicle sales & lower gasoline prices weigh on spending. Online sales surge again. Sales elsewhere are uneven. Consumers pulled back spending modestly in February, as overall retail sales fell 0.4% (+5.4% y/y). The decline followed a 3.2% January surge, revised from 3.0% reported last month. The decline...
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Mar
14
Summary NFIB Optimism Index edged up 0.6 point to 90.6, its second consecutive monthly increase. But remained well below its 49-year average of 98. Five of the index’s 10 index rose, four fell and one was unchanged. Expectations that economy will improve in next six months fell. Inflation still single...
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Mar
13
Lumber prices decline. Metals prices fall. Crude oil prices move up. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) fell 1.8% (-20.3% y/y) during the four weeks ended March 10, continuing the malaise of the last few weeks. The index had been trending...
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