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Charts of the Week
Macro Pulse
The messaging from this week’s raft of economic data has painted an increasingly familiar picture of the global economic scene. Headline inflation is finally easing off its highs in large part thanks to ebbing energy prices. But last year’s high levels of inflation and the global trend toward tighter monetary policy that they sparked are now exacting a heavier toll on economic activity.
Between Optimism and Uncertainty
The global backdrop remains unsettled, reflected in rising gold prices amid geopolitical tensions. At the same time, however, many major equity indices remain at or close to all-time highs, buoyed by optimism around AI and reinforced by a run of relatively benign US inflation readings. In our charts this week we focus on:
- The Blue Chip growth consensus
- Central bank policy rate expectations
- UK data surprises and the BoE
- The impact of Artificial Intelligence
- US business formation and productvity growth
- China’s export growth
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