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Charts of the Week
Macro Pulse
The messaging from this week’s raft of economic data has painted an increasingly familiar picture of the global economic scene. Headline inflation is finally easing off its highs in large part thanks to ebbing energy prices. But last year’s high levels of inflation and the global trend toward tighter monetary policy that they sparked are now exacting a heavier toll on economic activity.
Reversal of fortunes
US equity markets have underperformed relative to global peers in recent weeks, as investor sentiment has deteriorated in response to weaker-than-expected growth data and growing concerns about the Trump administration’s economic policies. The administration’s renewed push for tariffs, alongside fiscal expansion and tighter immigration policies, has fuelled stagflation fears, compounding the uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s next steps. In our charts this week we focus on:
· US equity markets and data surprises
· US capital flows versus the dollar
· National savings rates
· Ageing populations and deindustrialisation
· Wage inflation in the US and Europe
· China’s property market
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